Can the Bears Make the Playoffs in 2025?

(Spoiler: They’ve Got a 62% Chance… and That’s the Funniest Part)

Look, Bears fans, we need to talk about this 62% thing before you start planning the parade route down Michigan Avenue.

According to NFL.com’s official playoff probability model (yes, the same one that once gave the 2008 Lions a 0.0% chance and still somehow overestimated them), your Chicago Bears currently have a 62% chance of making the postseason.
They’re 8-3.
They’re tied for the No. 3 seed in the NFC with the Eagles.
And yet… they have the lowest playoff odds of any team currently in the playoff picture.

Let that sink in.
The Vikings, Packers, and Lions all have higher odds while sitting behind Chicago in the standings.
The football gods looked at the Bears, shrugged, and said, “Yeah, but it’s the Bears.”

Why 62% Feels Like 6.2% When You’re a Chicago Fan

  • Remaining schedule? Lions twice, Vikings, Packers, and a Seahawks team that suddenly remembers how to play defense in December.
  • Caleb Williams is cooking… but the offensive line still thinks “pass protection” is a suggestion.
  • The defense is elite until it remembers it’s contract year for half the roster and starts playing not to get hurt.
  • And let’s be honest: the ghost of Cody Parkey still haunts Soldier Field. Double-doink PTSD is real.

But Here’s the Hopeful (Delusional?) Part
62% is still better than 0%.
It’s better than the Lions had for decades.
It’s better than whatever the Jets are doing right now.
And if the Bears somehow win the division? That 62% jumps to “mathematically guaranteed” and we all get to watch Detroit fans cry into their Faygo.

So Can the Bears Actually Make the Playoffs?
Yes. Technically. On paper. In a simulation where the football gods take a nap.

Will they?
Narrator voice: They will not.

But we’ll be right there with you, wearing our sarcasm like armor, screaming “BEAR DOWN” while quietly refreshing the playoff odds every five minutes like masochists.

Wear the Pain Proudly
Grab our limited “Can the Bears Make the Playoffs? 62% Chance!” tee and let the shirt do the coping for you. Ultra-soft, obnoxiously accurate, and perfect for the inevitable rollercoaster of hope and heartbreak. Because if we’re going down, we’re going down laughing.

Get yours at Lounge King before the percentage drops to 38% after the next Lions game.
Bear Down… probably.